28 March, 2006

Canada: The Latest AAFC’s Barley Outlook

For 2005-06, Canadian exports of barley are forecast by AAFC (Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada) to increase by 34%, due mainly to higher exports of feed barley. Carry-out stocks are forecast to decrease by 11%, but will be high historically, AAFC published on March 27, 2006.

For 2006-07, production is forecast to rise slightly, as lower yields are more than offset by larger area, but total supply is projected to rise only marginally due to lower carry-in stocks. Exports are expected to fall, as higher exports of malting barley only partially offset lower exports of feed barley. Carry-out stocks are projected to drop significantly due to higher feed use. The average off-Board feed barley price is forecast to rise by C$15/t. The CWB 2006-07 PRO for 2-Row and 6 Row designated barley is lower than 2005-06.

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