Black Sea: Russia and Kazakhstan expected to harvest larger barley crops this year
Russia and Kazakhstan are expected to harvest larger barley crops this year while Ukraine, understandably, will see a smaller crop, H. M. Gauger GmbH reported earlier this month citing MARS data.
The forecast is 19.7 mln tonnes for Russia (18.411 mln last year), 3.443 mln tonnes in Kazakhstan (2.356 mln last year), and 6.664 mln tonnes for Ukraine (9.345 mln in 2021).
Ukraine managed to ship its total barley export program, most of it early in the campaign. Normally the country would ship 6.0 mln tonnes of grains and oilseeds per month via land and sea, in war times it struggles to export 2.0 mln tonnes via rail/truck/barge to the west. Neighbour countries lend as much support as possible, but the different rail gauges between the Ukraine and the west remain a huge problem.
Russian missiles hit the Black Sea port of Odessa on July 23, Ukrainian officials said, imperilling a deal Moscow and Kyiv reached a day earlier to allow shipment of millions of tons of trapped grain and ease a global food crisis.
The military command in southern Ukraine said two Kalibr cruise missiles hit the port’s infrastructure but not the grain silos in Odessa — one of the country’s largest and most important seaside trading cities.
The strike threatens an agreement that diplomats had hailed less than 24 hours earlier as a breakthrough after months of negotiations. Friday’s deal, brokered by the United Nations and Turkey, would help lift a Black Sea blockade that exacerbated global hunger, especially in Africa and the Middle East.
A keystone of the deal is Russia’s promise not to attack Odessa and two other ports involved in the shipments. The deal includes security assurances for both Ukraine and Russia, which agreed not to “undertake any attacks against merchant vessels and other civilian vessels and port facilities” tied to the initiative.
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