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CASTLE MALTING NEWS in partnership with www.e-malt.com Dutch
06 August, 2020

Barley news France: Farm ministry lowers soft wheat, barley and rapeseed crop estimate

France's farm ministry lowered its estimate of the 2020 soft wheat harvest to 29.71 million tonnes, down 1.6 million tonnes from its initial forecast last month and now 25% below last year's crop, due to the continued effects of adverse weather.

The reduced forecast was 16% lower than the average of the past five years and included the smallest harvested area since 1994, the ministry said in a crop report on Wednesday.

It reiterated that heavy autumn rain and spring drought severely affected wheat in the European Union's biggest grain producing country.

The ministry had surprised the market with its first soft wheat crop estimate of 31.31 million tonnes a month ago that showed a lower than expected crop area.

But analysts have since cut their expectations to below 30 million tonnes as the nearly complete harvest has shown disappointing yields while the market has adopted the ministry's area figures.

The soft wheat area was now seen at 4.35 million hectares against 4.41 million last month, with the ministry adding it could be revised further as it continued to factor in farmers' data submissions for EU subsidies.

The projected soft wheat yield was trimmed to 6.83 tonnes per hectare (t/ha) from 7.1 t/ha last month.

The ministry also reduced its estimate for this year's barley crop, to 11.3 million tonnes from 12.3 million in July, now 18% below last year's level.

In a first projection for this year's grain maize harvest, the ministry forecast production excluding seeds would reach 14.13 million tonnes, up 10.8% from last year and 1% above the five-year norm, as both area and yield were projected to rise.

However, it cautioned that developing drought could affect maize yield potential.

For rapeseed, the ministry trimmed its production estimate to 3.33 million tonnes from 3.37 million last month.

That was down nearly 5% from last year and almost 36% below the five-year mean.


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